Friday, June 24, 2022

On the Supreme Court's Ruling in Dobbs

The headline today in legal matters will surely be that Roe v. Wade (1973) has been overruled, but the problem goes further. The reasoning employed by the Supreme Court in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization (2022) undermined the reasoning employed in Lawrence v. Texas (2003) under which Bowers v. Hardwick (1986) was overruled to end anti-sodomy statutes, which is the same line of reasoning ultimately used to prevent states from banning same-sex marriage (e.g., that the State had no legitimate interest to protect), and in fact the same line of reasoning used by the Supreme Court to strike down laws criminalizing birth control.

We have not seen the end of this.

Friday, June 3, 2022

Putin's 3-Day War: Day 100

One hundred days into Putin's 3-day war to capture Ukraine for re-integration into the Russian empire, things are not going well for anyone. Blockade of Ukraine's ports is starving Africa. Ukrainian sources estimated Russian tank losses at 1000 units some weeks ago. During the last week of May 2022, U.S. intelligence sources assessed that Putin's invading force had lost a thousand tanks. Part of Russia's disasterous performance comes down to Russian decisions to ignore Russian doctrine and take risks assaulting with armor ahead of infantry protection. In what was perhaps its worst engagement so far, Russians were allowed to slowly assemble multimillion-dollar segments of a pontoon bridge and begin crossing a key river with armor before prepared Ukrainians obliterated scores of vehicles and apparently an entire division of Russian forces.